2026 Senate ratings: MS NOW’s races to watch

These are our Senate races to watch at the moment, including what we view as the top Senate battlegrounds. Our race ratings are informed by polling data, reporting about the campaigns, recent electoral trends and primary results. They reflect our current thinking, as if the elections were being held today, and will be updated regularly until Election Day.

Alaska, Maine, North Carolina and Ohio are Democrats’ best pickup opportunities at the moment. If Democrats flip all four while holding all their current seats — including Georgia and Michigan — they would win 51 seats and regain control of the chamber.

* = incumbent


Democrat


Republican


Current party


Race rating

North Carolina




Roy
Cooper




Michael
Whatley


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Lean Democratic

Georgia




Jon
Ossoff*




Mike
Collins


Current party: Democrat


Race rating: Lean Democratic

New Hampshire




Current party: Democrat


Race rating: Lean Democratic

Michigan




Abdul
El-Sayed




Mike
Rogers


Current party: Democrat


Race rating: Toss-Up

Maine




Troy
Jackson




Susan
Collins*


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Toss-Up

Ohio




Sherrod
Brown




Jon
Husted*


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Toss-Up

Why MS NOW rates Ohio’s Senate race a toss-up

Alaska




Mary
Peltola




Dan
Sullivan*


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Toss-Up

Why MS NOW rates Alaska’s Senate race a toss-up

Texas




James
Talarico




Ken
Paxton


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Lean Republican

Iowa




Josh
Turek




Ashley
Hinson


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Lean Republican

Minnesota




Peggy
Flanagan




Michele
Tafoya


Current party: Democrat


Race rating: Likely Democratic

Nebraska




Dan
Osborn




Pete
Ricketts*


Current party: Republican


Race rating: Likely Republican

The post 2026 Senate ratings: MS NOW’s races to watch appeared first on MS NOW.

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