Dozens of long-shot bets on Polymarket, from the war with Iran to the cryptocurrency market, have defied the odds, according to a New York Times examination.
Category: Gambling
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Why Investors Are Still Betting Big on Kalshi
The New York Times – Business:The popular prediction market platform has just raised a new funding round that values it at $22 billion, double what it was worth in December.
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Kalshi, the Prediction Market, Raises $1 Billion at a $22 Billion Valuation
The New York Times – Business:The platform for betting on sports, politics, the weather and more has raised $1 billion and sees big financial firms as a key source of growth.
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Polymarket Bets on Paris Temperature Prompt Investigation After Unusual Spikes
The New York Times – Business:The authorities said a Paris airport weather sensor may have been tampered with as large wagers were placed on the betting site.
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Soldier Used Classified Information to Bet on Maduro’s Ouster, U.S. Says
The New York Times – Business:Federal prosecutors say that Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke, who was involved in the operation to oust Nicolás Maduro from power in Venezuela, used the information to place bets on a prediction market.
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Coinbase and Gemini Accused of Illegal Gambling in N.Y. Lawsuits
The New York Times – Business:Attorney General Letitia James said the cryptocurrency giants were illegally running gambling platforms in the state after they expanded into prediction markets, which are loosely regulated.
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March Madness Puts Las Vegas Back in the Game
The New York Times – Business:The influx of fans during this month’s college basketball tournament is a welcome lift to the city’s casinos and hotels after a dismal 2025, when the number of visitors fell 7.5 percent.
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Arizona Files Criminal Charges Against Kalshi, the Prediction Site
The New York Times – Business:The state accused Kalshi on Tuesday of operating an illegal gambling business, escalating the legal battle between states and prediction markets.
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How Anonymous Bettors Cashed In on the Iran Strike, Just Hours Before It Happened
The New York Times – Business:Polymarket users placed hundreds of bets of at least $1,000 predicting an imminent American strike, raising concerns about insider trading.
