PredictIt (Aristotle International Inc)

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide.

By Kaleigh Rogers

Harris, Kamala D internal-storyline-no Politics and Government Polymarket (Adventure One QSS Inc) PredictIt (Aristotle International Inc) Presidential Election of 2024 Trump, Donald J

The French Connection to Trump’s Lead in the Prediction Markets

Polymarket said that it had linked a single trader to accounts that have wagered heavily on the Republican to win, pushing up his odds on the prediction market.

By Andrew Ross Sorkin Ravi Mattu Bernhard Warner Sarah Kessler

Harris, Kamala D internal-storyline-no Kalshi Inc Polymarket (Adventure One QSS Inc) PredictIt (Aristotle International Inc) Presidential Election of 2024 Trump, Donald J

Polymarket and PredictIt Gain Bets and Split From Polls

Supporters say the platforms are better at predicting the election. But questions have arisen about recent big bets, as they show a big lead for Donald Trump.

By Andrew Ross Sorkin Ravi Mattu Bernhard Warner Sarah Kessler

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