Recession and Depression

Gaming Out Trump’s Next Tariff Moves

In his address to Congress, the president made clear that his new trade levies were here to stay, acknowledging it might create “a little disturbance.” Analysts forecast what that might look like.

By Andrew Ross Sorkin Ravi Mattu Bernhard Warner Sarah Kessler

Bureau of Economic Analysis Commerce Department Federal Budget (US) Government Employees Gross Domestic Product Layoffs and Job Reductions Lutnick, Howard W Recession and Depression Statistics Trump, Donald J United States Economy United States Politics and Government

Lutnick Remarks on Removing Government Spending in GDP Data Raises Fears

Howard Lutnick, the commerce secretary, suggested government spending should be excluded from data about U.S. economic output.

By Ben Casselman and Colby Smith

Bureau of Economic Analysis Commerce Department Federal Budget (US) Government Employees Gross Domestic Product Layoffs and Job Reductions Lutnick, Howard W Recession and Depression Statistics Trump, Donald J United States Economy United States Politics and Government

Lutnick Remarks on Removing Government Spending in GDP Data Raises Fears

Howard Lutnick, the commerce secretary, suggested government spending should be excluded from data about U.S. economic output.

By Ben Casselman and Colby Smith

Economics (Theory and Philosophy) Hiring and Promotion Labor and Jobs Recession and Depression Trump, Donald J Unemployment United States Economy

Can Low Unemployment Last Under Trump?

Hiring has slowed, but joblessness remains at levels defying economic norms. Big policy changes under a new administration could test that resilience.

By Talmon Joseph Smith