Stocks are mired in a holding pattern. The big question, our columnist says, is when will the Federal Reserve start to cut interest rates?
Category: Recession and Depression
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Investors Feel Anxious Despite Falling Odds of a Recession
Some economists are playing down the chances of an economic downturn. But investors and voters aren’t feeling nearly as optimistic.
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Strong Economic Data Buoys Biden, but Many Voters Are Still Sour
Voters continue to rate the president poorly on economic issues, but there are signs the national mood is beginning to improve.
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Soft Landing Optimism Is Everywhere. That’s Happened Before.
People are often sure that the economy is going to settle down gently right before it plunges into recession, a reason for caution and humility.
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GDP Grew at 2.4% Rate in Q2 as US Economy Stayed on Track
The reading on gross domestic product was bolstered by consumer spending, showing that recession forecasts early in the year were premature, at least.
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Global Economy Shows Signs of Resilience Despite Lingering Threats
The International Monetary Fund upgraded its global growth forecast for 2023.
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The Fed Is Trying to Cure Inflation Without Starting a Recession
Lowering inflation to 2 percent without causing a recession and throwing people out of work would be a rare achievement. The markets are acting as if it has already happened.
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U.S. Recession Appears Less Likely, Economists Say
Rising interest rates were widely expected to put the U.S. economy in reverse. Now things are looking rosier, but don’t pop the Champagne corks yet.
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The Pandemic’s Labor Market Myths
Amid the pandemic, people thought the labor market had permanently changed in important ways. It was a bad bet.
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Investors Look for Reasons the Market Could ‘Grind Higher’
Companies are expected to report a fall in profits, but some analysts see brighter times ahead.
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The Yield Curve Is Flashing a Recession Warning. Some Wonder if it’s Wrong.
The yield curve began suggesting last year that the economy was headed for a slump.