Optimistic guesses about the future are not forecasts, our columnist says.
Category: United States Economy
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PCE Inflation, the Fed’s Preferred Measure, Sped Up in November
The Personal Consumption Expenditures index climbed 2.4 percent from a year earlier, though the report’s details were more subdued than expected.
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The Shutdown Crisis Leads to Questions About Who Is in Charge
Donald Trump has yet to take office but the president-elect and Elon Musk are already influencing policy, putting the federal government hours away from a shut down.
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Trump Tossed a Debt Limit Grenade Into Spending Talks. Here’s Why.
President-elect Donald J. Trump was forced to negotiate with Democrats over the borrowing cap during his first term.
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Washington and the Markets are Feeling the President-elect Effect
The President-elect takes office in a month, but his influence on policy is already being felt by investors and across Washington.
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Where Does a ‘Remarkable’ U.S. Economy Go From Here?
America’s economy is far outstripping its peers, but there are serious risks, including from the president-elect.
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Stocks Plunge as Fed Forecasts Fewer Rate Cuts Next Year
The Federal Reserve cut rates for a third time this year, but investors shuddered at revised forecasts suggesting only two cuts in 2025.
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The Fed is making its final rate decision of the year.
Federal Reserve officials are widely expected to cut interest rates, but investors will focus on hints about what comes next.
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How Fed Rates Influence Mortgages, Credit Cards, Savings and More
Here’s how the central bank’s interest rate moves influence car loans, credit cards, mortgages, savings and student loans.
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How to Read the Fed’s ‘Dot Plot’ Projections Like a Pro
The Federal Reserve will release fresh economic estimates on Wednesday. Here’s how to read the outlook for 2025 and beyond.
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The Economy Is Finally Stable. Is That About to Change?
President-elect Donald J. Trump’s proposals on tariffs, immigration, taxes and deregulation may have far-reaching and contradictory effects, adding uncertainty to forecasts.
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Bracing for a Fed Pullback on Interest Rates
Wall Street sees the central bank cutting interest rates on Wednesday. But growing worries about inflation are adding to investor uncertainty about its policy agenda for 2025.