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  • Ben Casselman

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U.S. Economy Shrank in First Quarter as Trump Tariffs Loomed

Underlying economic growth remained solid in early 2025, but tariffs and uncertainty are expected to cause a further slowdown.

Trump’s Cuts to Science Funding Could Hurt U.S. Economy, Study Shows

Reducing federal support for research and development could cause long-run economic damage and reduce government revenue.

The ‘China Shock’ Offers a Lesson. It Isn’t the One Trump Has Learned.

Economists say the U.S. manufacturing decline in recent decades was not mainly about free trade, but about the pace of change without time to adjust.

Stock Market Chaos Over Tariffs Could Take Toll on Economy

A big hit to portfolios would be felt acutely by higher-income Americans, whose spending has recently been the biggest driver of the economy.

Trump’s Science Policies Pose Long-Term Risk, Economists Warn

Since World War II, U.S. research funding has led to discoveries that fueled economic gains. Now cutbacks are seen as putting that legacy in jeopardy.

Trump Says a Recession Would Be Worth It, but Economists Are Skeptical

President Trump and his advisers say his policies may cause short-term pain but will produce big gains over time. Many economists are skeptical of those...

Uncertainty About Economic Policy Is Hampering Business Decisions

The lack of clarity about tariffs and other policies could hurt hiring and investing. But the strong U.S. economy should provide a buffer.

The report will revise figures from 2023 and 2024. Here’s what to know.

The New York Times - Business: This post first appeared in The New York Times - Business. Read the original article.

Friday’s Jobs Report Will Be Confusing. Here’s How to Make Sense of It.

The Labor Department’s January survey will include revisions making data for previous months look stronger in some cases and weaker in others.

U.S. Economy Grew 2.3 Percent in Fourth Quarter

Gross domestic product grew by 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter, capping a more robust year than expected. Policy uncertainty clouds the outlook.