Economists have long helped to shape policy on issues like taxes and health care. But flawed forecasts and arcane language have cost them credibility.

Stubborn inflation, and potential tariffs, make future rate cuts uncertain.

A short lapse in funding would probably do only modest damage. But it could send a troubling signal about government dysfunction.

President-elect Donald J. Trump’s proposals on tariffs, immigration, taxes and deregulation may have far-reaching and contradictory effects, adding uncertainty to forecasts.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks jobs and inflation, issued a report on what caused embarrassing episodes in which data was released improperly.

Consumer sentiment among Republicans has soared to its highest point since Donald J. Trump left the White House, while declining among Democrats.

In a key economic report released just days before the presidential election, growth was again driven by robust consumer spending.

On average, wages have risen faster than prices in recent years. But not all Americans are getting ahead.

Updated figures show that gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, grew faster in 2021, 2022 and early 2023 than previously reported.

Past economic cycles show that unemployment starts to tick up ahead of a recession, with wide-scale layoffs coming only later.